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Rakhi Sawant wants to contest against Arvind Kejriwal on BJP ticket
By admin on March 9, 2014
Bollywood item girl Rakhi Sawant, who has joined the BJP, has said, she wants to fight a Lok Sabha poll against Aam Aadmi Party convenor Arvind Kejriwal.
“If the party gives me a chance, I am ready to take on Kejriwal from any parliamentary constituency”, Rakhi Sawant told
The item girl said, she has cancelled all her shooting schedules for the next four months and has offered to take part in BJP’s poll campaign in support of Narendra Modi as PM candidate.
She said, the AAP leader was only indulging in election stunts after being proved a “failure” in Delhi. “He has broken the hearts of people, and he should be punished for that”, she added.
hemen parekh
March 11, 2014 at 3:13 pm
Does AAP have a Chance ?
Does AAP have a chance to win substantial number of seats in the forthcoming Lok Sabha elections ?
Not , if we go by a Times of India article by Milan Vaishnav ( 02 Feb 2014 )
Following is my interpretation of the article :
> CRIME PAYS
What is the probability of winning election ?
# Only 7 % chance of winning if candidate has NO criminal case pending
# 22 % chance of winning if candidate has at least one case pending !
PROOF ?
Lok Sabha
* 162 MPs have pending Criminal cases , of which , 76 face ” Serious ”
charges
State Assemblies
* 31 % of MLAs have pending Criminal cases , and 15 % face ” Serious ”
charges
Moral of the History ?
Give tickets to only those candidates who have one – or more – criminal
cases pending !
> MONEY WORKS
What is the probability of winning election ?
# Only 1 % chance of winning if candidate belongs to the poorest 20 %
of the MPs
# A whopping 25 % chance of winning if candidate belongs to the richest
20 % of the MPs !
Moral of the History ?
Give tickets to only those candidates who have declared assets of Rs 200
crore or more
> CRIME VS MONEY
# Only 6 % of the POOR ( bottom 20 % ) candidates face Criminal
charges
# Nearly 20 % of the RICH ( top 20 % ) candidates face Criminal
charges
Moral of the History ?
To ensure 100 % chance of winning, give preference to those candidates ,
who are both , RICH and CRIMINAL !
I just don’t understand why those AAP aspirants are fighting with Arvind ,
for getting tickets !
In face of such irrefutable / overwhelming evidence ,
what can the poor fellow do ?
How about asking each aspiring candidate to fill in their personal data
in the following formula ?
P = { ( CC+NSC ) * FBA/BLD + CA/PRA } / { ( NPA + NRE ) – PFU }
Where ,
P = Probability of winning the election
CC = Number of Criminal cases pending
CA = Current Assets ( Rs Crores )
PRA = Rise in Assets in last 3 years ( % )
NRE = Number of close relatives
NPA = Number of times changed political affiliation in past 5 years
NSC = Number of Scams in which listed
FBA = Number of Foreign Bank accounts ( not only Swiss banks )
BLD = Number of PSU Bank loan defaults ( only those above Rs 5 Crores )
PFU = Party Funds used for Campaign
Why leave candidate selection to human judgment / bias ?
It is high time to introduce some transparency in candidate selection process
* hemen parekh ( 10 Feb 2014 / Mumbai )