4th Candidate List Announced – 2014 Elections

New Delhi: The Aam Aadmi Party (AAP) on Monday released the fourth list of candidates for the upcoming Lok Sabha polls.

Among the 60 candidates announced today is journalist Ashish Khaitan from New Delhi constituency. Former Tehelka journalist Khaitan is the founder of news portal gulail.com that had levelled charges against Narendra Modi over alleged illegal surveillance of woman by the Gujarat Police.

The other name announced for Delhi was of Col Devendra Sehrawat, he will contest from South Delhi.

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One Comment

1. 

   hemen parekh

   March 11, 2014 at 10:17 am

   Does AAP have a Chance ?

   Does AAP have a chance to win substantial number of seats in the forthcoming Lok Sabha elections ?

   Not , if we go by a Times of India article by Milan Vaishnav ( 02 Feb 2014 )

   Following is my interpretation of the article :

   > CRIME PAYS

   What is the probability of winning election ?

   # Only 7 % chance of winning if candidate has NO criminal case pending
   # 22 % chance of winning if candidate has at least one case pending !

   PROOF ?

   Lok Sabha

   * 162 MPs have pending Criminal cases , of which , 76 face ” Serious ”
   charges

   State Assemblies

   * 31 % of MLAs have pending Criminal cases , and 15 % face ” Serious ”
   charges

   Moral of the History ?

   Give tickets to only those candidates who have one – or more – criminal
   cases pending !

   > MONEY WORKS

   What is the probability of winning election ?

   # Only 1 % chance of winning if candidate belongs to the poorest 20 %
   of the MPs

   # A whopping 25 % chance of winning if candidate belongs to the richest
   20 % of the MPs !

   Moral of the History ?

   Give tickets to only those candidates who have declared assets of Rs 200
   crore or more

   > CRIME VS MONEY

   # Only 6 % of the POOR ( bottom 20 % ) candidates face Criminal
   charges

   # Nearly 20 % of the RICH ( top 20 % ) candidates face Criminal
   charges

   Moral of the History ?

   To ensure 100 % chance of winning, give preference to those candidates ,
   who are both , RICH and CRIMINAL !

   I just don’t understand why those AAP aspirants are fighting with Arvind ,
   for getting tickets !

   In face of such irrefutable / overwhelming evidence ,
   what can the poor fellow do ?

   How about asking each aspiring candidate to fill in their personal data
   in the following formula ?

   P = { ( CC+NSC ) * FBA/BLD + CA/PRA } / { ( NPA + NRE ) – PFU }

   Where ,

   P = Probability of winning the election
   CC = Number of Criminal cases pending
   CA = Current Assets ( Rs Crores )
   PRA = Rise in Assets in last 3 years ( % )
   NRE = Number of close relatives
   NPA = Number of times changed political affiliation in past 5 years
   NSC = Number of Scams in which listed
   FBA = Number of Foreign Bank accounts ( not only Swiss banks )
   BLD = Number of PSU Bank loan defaults ( only those above Rs 5 Crores )
   PFU = Party Funds used for Campaign

   Why leave candidate selection to human judgment / bias ?

   It is high time to introduce some transparency in candidate selection process

   * hemen parekh ( 10 Feb 2014 / Mumbai )

   Reply